In May 2016, I first wrote about a fairly new "investment" asset called Bitcoin. At that time, most people called Bitcoin a “fraud,” a “scam,” or a “Ponzi scheme.” Many of you who have "followed" me in FB know that since 2016, I’ve been fighting a long battle to educate everyone about the value of Bitcoin. Then in late 2017, I met an American investment specialist, Mr. "LP" who not only shared my passion/vision but encouraged me to use my "accounting knowledge" to make sense of this new technology, for the benefit of the masses. He said I was the best partner he has ever teamed up with - and he is a Tony Robbins staffer. Together, we have traversed the world sharing our knowledge with people who "believed''. We have had a few converts too:).
And those of you who stuck with us, I want you to congratulate yourselves. You can see the light now......
Not only was Bitcoin the best-performing asset class of 2020… it also obliterated its old highs. Bitcoin rose 308% in 2020 – and just recently was as high as $61,000. Here’s why I feel vindicated: Bitcoin is now the most valuable financial service/instrument in the world by market cap. This is something we’ve been predicting for years. When it fell from $20,000 in Jan 2018 to about $1,800 in Sept 2018, we told our students to "BUY". I recall telling my class, maybe, if you must, sell your house/condo and buy some BTC and keep. I said "In 5 to 10 years from now, it will be extremely rare to come across someone who owns ONE Bitcoin". It's now about RM 230,000 per BTC....how many can afford to buy just 1?
Today, Bitcoin’s total market value is over $1.1 Trillion. That’s more than the market caps of Visa ($460 billion), MasterCard ($360 billion) and PayPal ($276 billion) combined. These are industrial behemoths that have been around since 1958. To highlight this enormity further, Bitcoin's value is 4 times higher than the 20 largest Malaysian companies combined. Starting in October 2009, Bitcoin is a "Johnny Come Lately". But NOBODY is laughing at Bitcoin anymore. Those who "missed" out are instead........crying.
So the question now is, where does Bitcoin go from here?
$500,000 Bitcoin?
Right now, we have a brand-new area of demand for Bitcoin as a corporate treasury asset. It’s incredible. Corporations are sitting on Trillions of dollars of capital. So even a small weightage shift to Bitcoin can have a profound multiplier effect on the price. For instance, ARK Invest Management reported that non-traditional assets like real estate and emerging markets make up 5–6% of institutional investors’ portfolios. So if pension funds and banks allocated a similar weightage to Bitcoin, the report suggests Bitcoin’s price could go to a half-million dollars!
Will this happen overnight? Of course not. Will it happen in a straight line? No, absolutely not. But...
We’re already seeing big established institutions buy Bitcoin. In December 2020, 169-year-old insurance giant MassMutual bought $100 million of Bitcoin. And since August 2020, data consultants MicroStrategy have purchased roughly 90,000 Bitcoin, now worth more than $5 billion… and they paid only about $23,000 per coin on average. That’s an ROI of more than 150% in less than 8 months.
Visa Card just announced that their global processing henceforth will be conducted over the Ethereum (ETH) blockchain. That's an annual $22 billion transaction value processed over the ETH blockchain network and gives the No. 2 crypto in the world, a HUGE stamp of confidence. It's bound to rise in price, and along with it, push up Bitcoin, and other alternate coins (Altcoins) even higher.
So where is Bitcoin headed in 2021?
As I look through the "mystical" charts for 2021, it appears to be very pro-Crypto. Augurs well for BTC and selected Altcoins too.
We’ve reached the tipping point among professional investment managers: Can you imagine, they’re running the risk of potentially getting fired if they don’t own Bitcoin in their clients' portfolios. And that’s a complete 180% turn from just 3 years ago when the CEO of a famous investment bank said he will fire his employees if anyone even mentioned Bitcoin. The very same bank now is a major player in the Crypto space...go figure!
Again, just look at MicroStrategy… its stock price has more than doubled since acquiring its first Bitcoin back in August 2020. I'm waiting to see the same effect on Tesla's stock price, now that it's made a 50% profit in just ONE month.
I can guarantee you corporate boardrooms across the world are paying attention. Everyone is thinking about this. So this is another demand-driver we need to model into the price of Bitcoin going forward. It will take time, but it's a matter of time before investment managers realize the value of Bitcoin as an alternate store of value - considering Biden's Treasury is printing dollars in the Trillions. Corporations would be forced to put Bitcoin in their corporate treasury soon, if only as a hedge against the depreciating USD.
That’s why I believe Bitcoin will continue to be the most valuable financial service (or instrument) in the world… it’s already broken through $1 trillion while institutions have only just begun to invest. The good news is, it’s not too late to own some Bitcoin, even at $58,000 today.
And with BIG old money (estimated at about 5 Trillion USD or more ) still barely in this space, in spite of the 30% volatility swings at times, I see a significant upside going forward. I wouldn't discount a target of $100,000 in the foreseeable future, and maybe US$500,000 by 2030. If you had invested RM 1000 in Bitcoin in May 2016 when I first advised, that investment would be RM 130,000 today: Enough for a brand new SUV. Not a bad "fools gold" afterall!