Tuesday, April 27, 2021
And you think Bitcoin and Crypto are just a fad?
Wednesday, March 31, 2021
Bitcoin is now (@ 31 March 2021) the Most Valuable Financial Service / Instrument in the World !
In May 2016, I first wrote about a fairly new "investment" asset called Bitcoin. At that time, most people called Bitcoin a “fraud,” a “scam,” or a “Ponzi scheme.” Many of you who have "followed" me in FB know that since 2016, I’ve been fighting a long battle to educate everyone about the value of Bitcoin. Then in late 2017, I met an American investment specialist, Mr. "LP" who not only shared my passion/vision but encouraged me to use my "accounting knowledge" to make sense of this new technology, for the benefit of the masses. He said I was the best partner he has ever teamed up with - and he is a Tony Robbins staffer. Together, we have traversed the world sharing our knowledge with people who "believed''. We have had a few converts too:).
And those of you who stuck with us, I want you to congratulate yourselves. You can see the light now......
Not only was Bitcoin the best-performing asset class of 2020… it also obliterated its old highs. Bitcoin rose 308% in 2020 – and just recently was as high as $61,000. Here’s why I feel vindicated: Bitcoin is now the most valuable financial service/instrument in the world by market cap. This is something we’ve been predicting for years. When it fell from $20,000 in Jan 2018 to about $1,800 in Sept 2018, we told our students to "BUY". I recall telling my class, maybe, if you must, sell your house/condo and buy some BTC and keep. I said "In 5 to 10 years from now, it will be extremely rare to come across someone who owns ONE Bitcoin". It's now about RM 230,000 per BTC....how many can afford to buy just 1?
Today, Bitcoin’s total market value is over $1.1 Trillion. That’s more than the market caps of Visa ($460 billion), MasterCard ($360 billion) and PayPal ($276 billion) combined. These are industrial behemoths that have been around since 1958. To highlight this enormity further, Bitcoin's value is 4 times higher than the 20 largest Malaysian companies combined. Starting in October 2009, Bitcoin is a "Johnny Come Lately". But NOBODY is laughing at Bitcoin anymore. Those who "missed" out are instead........crying.
So the question now is, where does Bitcoin go from here?
$500,000 Bitcoin?
Right now, we have a brand-new area of demand for Bitcoin as a corporate treasury asset. It’s incredible. Corporations are sitting on Trillions of dollars of capital. So even a small weightage shift to Bitcoin can have a profound multiplier effect on the price. For instance, ARK Invest Management reported that non-traditional assets like real estate and emerging markets make up 5–6% of institutional investors’ portfolios. So if pension funds and banks allocated a similar weightage to Bitcoin, the report suggests Bitcoin’s price could go to a half-million dollars!
Will this happen overnight? Of course not. Will it happen in a straight line? No, absolutely not. But...
We’re already seeing big established institutions buy Bitcoin. In December 2020, 169-year-old insurance giant MassMutual bought $100 million of Bitcoin. And since August 2020, data consultants MicroStrategy have purchased roughly 90,000 Bitcoin, now worth more than $5 billion… and they paid only about $23,000 per coin on average. That’s an ROI of more than 150% in less than 8 months.
Visa Card just announced that their global processing henceforth will be conducted over the Ethereum (ETH) blockchain. That's an annual $22 billion transaction value processed over the ETH blockchain network and gives the No. 2 crypto in the world, a HUGE stamp of confidence. It's bound to rise in price, and along with it, push up Bitcoin, and other alternate coins (Altcoins) even higher.
So where is Bitcoin headed in 2021?
As I look through the "mystical" charts for 2021, it appears to be very pro-Crypto. Augurs well for BTC and selected Altcoins too.
We’ve reached the tipping point among professional investment managers: Can you imagine, they’re running the risk of potentially getting fired if they don’t own Bitcoin in their clients' portfolios. And that’s a complete 180% turn from just 3 years ago when the CEO of a famous investment bank said he will fire his employees if anyone even mentioned Bitcoin. The very same bank now is a major player in the Crypto space...go figure!
Again, just look at MicroStrategy… its stock price has more than doubled since acquiring its first Bitcoin back in August 2020. I'm waiting to see the same effect on Tesla's stock price, now that it's made a 50% profit in just ONE month.
I can guarantee you corporate boardrooms across the world are paying attention. Everyone is thinking about this. So this is another demand-driver we need to model into the price of Bitcoin going forward. It will take time, but it's a matter of time before investment managers realize the value of Bitcoin as an alternate store of value - considering Biden's Treasury is printing dollars in the Trillions. Corporations would be forced to put Bitcoin in their corporate treasury soon, if only as a hedge against the depreciating USD.
That’s why I believe Bitcoin will continue to be the most valuable financial service (or instrument) in the world… it’s already broken through $1 trillion while institutions have only just begun to invest. The good news is, it’s not too late to own some Bitcoin, even at $58,000 today.
And with BIG old money (estimated at about 5 Trillion USD or more ) still barely in this space, in spite of the 30% volatility swings at times, I see a significant upside going forward. I wouldn't discount a target of $100,000 in the foreseeable future, and maybe US$500,000 by 2030. If you had invested RM 1000 in Bitcoin in May 2016 when I first advised, that investment would be RM 130,000 today: Enough for a brand new SUV. Not a bad "fools gold" afterall!
Sunday, January 24, 2021
Bugger....I'm Indian?
https://www.facebook.com/833752537/videos/10160600946877538/
Saturday, January 23, 2021
WhatsApp King ?
Thursday, January 14, 2021
WHERE TO MR.BITCOIN ?
Sunday, January 10, 2021
SOMEBODY's WATCHIN YOU ?
Tuesday, December 8, 2020
WHAT IF YOU BOUGHT US$1,000 WORTH OF BITCOIN IN AUGUST 2010 ?
First, I’d like to thank Walid Al Otaibi in Germany for his valuable thoughts, that helped me to frame my piece (aka flattery) based on his original article.
In Dec 2015, I was in the pits after having lost ALL my savings in foolish (and unfortunately, bad luck) deals over the past 9 years after my very gainfully-employed 23 years in a big firm. I've heard about Bitcoin since perhaps 2011 but like most "educated" people, I dismissed it as a fad without really doing my homework.
What is a cryptocurrency? And how can a non-regulated currency have any value: I didn’t even give the subject any further thought. Then, to me, it was an airy-fairy concept that would never become a reality in current finance. All these changed when in early 2016, I started to study this phenomenon seriously. By late 2017, I was invited to teach classes in Singapore, Thailand, USA and Malaysia on cryptocurrencies to accountants, doctors, engineers and indeed, economics professors.
What the hell is Bitcoin?
Bitcoin (“BTC”) is a cryptocurrency probably "invented" in 2008 by an unknown person (or persons) using the moniker Satoshi Nakamoto. In 2009, its implementation was released as open-source software in the US, likely. A crypto currency is a non-paper (aka "fiat") currency that is not issued by the currency officials of countries like Bank Negara in Malaysia. However, recent exceptions to this rule are Venezuela, Ecuador, Senegal, Singapore, Tunisia, Estonia, Japan, Palestine, Russia and Sweden who are looking to launch their own national cryptocurrencies....think of it as "if you can't beat them, join them? Of course, China being the global manufacturing leader, has already put the Crypto Yuan (not the official name) on covert trial, I hear.
Therefore, a cryptocurrency is a decentralized digital currency without a single “controlling” issuing house. The currency can be sent from A to B globally without the need for any intermediaries. The transactions are verified and recorded in a public distributed ledger called a blockchain. This is done electronically in the “clouds” and there are no physical ledgers. Simply, what this means is that for each transaction of bitcoin, there could be hundreds or even thousands of "cyber-space auditors" verifying the transaction as opposed to your one "big strong friendly bank" that charges you 20 bucks per forex transaction, to send your own money. And in some countries, the recipient pays another 20 bucks to receive your cash. So a total of 40 bucks to send say 100 bucks, that would probably take 3 working days and some level of scrutinous paperwork. Now, via the blockchain, this transaction would cost perhaps, RM 2, and take 15 minutes max on your cheap Android handphone. Now, you can see why banks (and governments) "fear" the spread of crypto-currency transactions.
BTC is generated via a process called mining. Basically, by lending your computing power to support and manage the blockchain, you will receive a certain portion of a BTC as a reward. In 2010, it was relatively easy for Tom, Dick and Harry to mine BTC; now, it is almost impossible to mine from a normal PC due to extremely high computing power requirements to solve the complex algorithms (ie "mining") in the blockchain network. Many miner wannabes have “fried” their home PCs trying this now. And the cost of electricity (depending on the country you are mining in, maybe up to $3,000 per BTC) has made this process, too expensive for a home miner. It is said, the total energy consumption of BTC miners globally is equal to the energy consumption of Switzerland!
In 2010, buying BTC was very difficult. There were very limited exchange platforms (similar to stock exchanges) for BTC. People were mining the cryptocurrency by using their own computers, or by ganging up as clubs and pooling their resources to buy the computing power.
The value of any form of money is eventually determined by a minimum of four major attributes; trust, adoption, scarcity and fungibility. Gold, for example, was the main payment method in the old ages. It is scarce, and therefore people trusted that its value would remain, and they adopted gold as a payment method. It isn't exactly fungible but still, you could melt it for smaller transactions.
In BTC's case, the value of the cryptocurrency can be measured by its growing base of users and merchants. Like all other currencies, BTC’s “value” comes directly from people willing to accept them as payment. Today, there are about 1 million+ establishments globally that accept crypto payments, including Amazon, Microsoft, AT&T, Starbucks and PayPal. In Malaysia, there are “mamak” stall accepting BTC as payment. This number is growing daily by leaps. Oh yes, BTC is fungible as it can be divided into 100,000,000 mini pieces, each called a “satoshi” (of course).
In August 2010, the Bitcoin price skyrocketed 900% within 5 days. The value of one Bitcoin went from $0.008 to $0.08. In Jan 2018, it had reached almost $20,000. Since Feb 2018, the price fell to a low of about $1,800 and climbed back slowly to hit $19,600 a week ago.
Hypothetically speaking, assuming you missed the 9x jump and you bought $1000 worth of BTC in late August 2010, you would have had 12,000 BTC. As I mentioned before, buying Bitcoins, back in 2010, was incredibly hard but buying BTC is easy today. Yes, in Malaysia, there are legal exchanges like LUNO and Sinegy where you can buy cryptocurrencies using your Maybank or CIMB accounts, or even credit cards. There are other peer to peer exchanges like Remitano where the same is possible.
On 22 May 2010 in New York, Laszlo Hanyecz, ordered two pizzas from Papa John’s (worth about $20) and paid 10,000 BTC for the pizzas. You can see a picture of him here - he can still smile.
Conclusion
In 2010, no one in his right mind would have invested $500 in Bitcoins, let alone RM 500. In my lectures, I’ve expressed my appreciation to see the development of this new concept of currency: We have come very far from the days when a chicken or a pig was the currency of trade. In May 2016, I advised about a dozen of my friends to invest in BTC, alas only 2 did. Both are overjoyed now. The other 10…are cursing me for not being more forceful.
Bitcoin paved the way for the birth of many other cryptocurrencies in the market and gain functionality. Ripple, Ethereum and Cardano, are some of the more popular alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoin). There are almost 8,000 altcoins now. And where does it go from here? Well, we have to wait and see. I’m betting that the top 40 altcoins as of today, will be around for a while. Recently, a Citibank analyst opined that Bitcoin may surpass $300,000 by the end of 2021. John McAfee thinks $1,000,000 per BTC is possible. As for me, if BTC’s price hits $30,000 by 2024, I would have a greater story to tell in my classes: I was there when it was $450 in May 2016………
Finally, the answer to the title of this article: 1 BTC is about $19,000 now. So the value of the 12,000+ BTC you bought 10 years ago is currently, equal to about $230,000,000 or just a tad under RM 1 bil. Not a bad investment at all !
In the meantime, for a long-term prospect, I think it would be fair to call a “BUY” on BTC.
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